SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Jong AZ in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong AZ |
35.32% ( -0.04) | 23.87% ( 0.02) | 40.81% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.7% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( -0.11) | 40.47% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( -0.11) | 62.85% ( 0.11) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -0.07) | 22.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( -0.11) | 56.5% ( 0.11) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( -0.03) | 20.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( -0.05) | 52.33% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.32% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.81% |
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