SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong AZ in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Helmond Sport |
50.92% ( -0.13) | 23.44% ( 0.04) | 25.63% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.49% ( -0.1) | 43.51% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( -0.1) | 65.9% ( 0.1) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -0.08) | 17.16% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.59% ( -0.15) | 47.4% ( 0.16) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( 0.02) | 30.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( 0.02) | 66.82% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.63% |
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