Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.42%) and 0-1 (5.29%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambuur in this match.
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