SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong AZ |
48.87% ( -0.13) | 23.57% ( 0.01) | 27.56% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( 0.06) | 42.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( 0.06) | 64.94% ( -0.06) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( -0.02) | 17.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( -0.05) | 48.11% ( 0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( 0.12) | 28.62% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( 0.15) | 64.43% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.87% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 27.56% |
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