SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Groningen |
34.95% ( -0.07) | 24.2% ( 0.01) | 40.84% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.88% ( -0.05) | 42.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.48% ( -0.05) | 64.52% ( 0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.06) | 23.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( -0.09) | 57.9% ( 0.08) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( 0.01) | 20.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.58% ( 0.01) | 53.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.95% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.84% |
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