Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
