SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Groningen |
21.41% ( 0.02) | 23.47% ( 0.1) | 55.11% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( -0.41) | 47.96% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( -0.38) | 70.14% ( 0.37) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( -0.21) | 36.75% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( -0.21) | 73.54% ( 0.21) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( -0.19) | 17.26% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.41% ( -0.34) | 47.59% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.41% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.75% Total : 55.11% |
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