Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.12) 
