SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Helmond Sport |
39.8% ( -0.2) | 25.43% ( 0.09) | 34.77% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.38) | 47.82% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.35) | 70.01% ( 0.35) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0.27) | 23.77% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( -0.39) | 57.92% ( 0.39) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0.11) | 26.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( -0.15) | 61.75% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.77% |
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