SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
57.76% ( -0.01) | 21.61% ( 0.07) | 20.62% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.34% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.25% ( -0.45) | 40.74% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.87% ( -0.47) | 63.12% ( 0.46) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( -0.15) | 13.87% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.72% ( -0.3) | 41.28% ( 0.29) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( -0.33) | 33.41% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( -0.36) | 70.04% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 57.76% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 20.62% |
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