SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
46.53% ( 1.06) | 22.71% ( -0.08) | 30.76% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 64.24% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.59% ( -0.08) | 36.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.46% ( -0.09) | 58.54% ( 0.09) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( 0.36) | 16.1% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.48% ( 0.66) | 45.51% ( -0.66) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( -0.61) | 23.43% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.56% ( -0.89) | 57.44% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.75% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
