Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Helmond Sport in this match.
Result | ||
Helmond Sport | Draw | Roda JC |
48.14% ( -0.01) | 23.15% ( -0) | 28.7% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.2% ( 0.01) | 39.8% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.85% ( 0.02) | 62.15% ( -0.01) |
Helmond Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% ( 0) | 16.8% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.23% ( 0) | 46.76% ( -0) |
Roda JC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% ( 0.02) | 26.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.4% ( 0.02) | 61.59% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Helmond Sport | Draw | Roda JC |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 4.23% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.7% |
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