Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.36) 
