SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
45.51% ( -0.41) | 25.93% ( 0.1) | 28.56% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% ( -0.22) | 52.08% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( -0.19) | 73.81% ( 0.19) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.28) | 22.83% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( -0.42) | 56.56% ( 0.42) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( 0.12) | 32.84% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( 0.13) | 69.4% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.56% |
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