Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heracles |
40.97% ( 1.05) | 24.51% ( -0.28) | 34.52% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 59.17% ( 0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.32% ( 1.17) | 43.68% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.93% ( 1.14) | 66.07% ( -1.14) |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.61% ( 1.01) | 21.38% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.63% ( 1.54) | 54.36% ( -1.54) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% ( 0.11) | 24.73% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% ( 0.16) | 59.28% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.52% |
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