SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | De Graafschap |
36.53% ( -0.02) | 25.78% ( 0.01) | 37.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.04) | 49.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( -0.04) | 71.26% ( 0.03) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.03) | 26.16% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.76% ( -0.04) | 61.24% ( 0.04) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.01) | 25.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.63% ( -0.02) | 60.36% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 36.53% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.68% |
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