SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
52.82% ( -0.16) | 23.85% ( 0.06) | 23.32% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( -0.17) | 47.48% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( -0.16) | 69.69% ( 0.16) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( -0.12) | 17.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.25% ( -0.21) | 48.75% ( 0.21) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( -0) | 34.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% ( -0.01) | 71.41% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.81% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.32% |
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