SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 0-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Groningen |
19.44% ( 0.05) | 20.9% ( 0.04) | 59.65% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.79% ( -0.1) | 39.21% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.46% ( -0.11) | 61.54% ( 0.11) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0) | 33.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% ( -0.01) | 70.35% ( 0.01) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( -0.06) | 12.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.86% ( -0.12) | 39.14% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.44% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 59.65% |
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