SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Roda JC |
22.44% ( -0.17) | 21.07% ( 0.02) | 56.48% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.05% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.2% ( -0.31) | 35.8% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.12% ( -0.34) | 57.88% ( 0.34) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( -0.32) | 28.97% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% ( -0.4) | 64.86% ( 0.4) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( -0.05) | 12.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.21% ( -0.11) | 38.79% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 22.44% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 56.48% |
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