SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong PSV |
47.91% ( 0.04) | 21.28% ( 0) | 30.8% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 69.71% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.72% ( -0.04) | 29.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.69% ( -0.05) | 50.31% ( 0.05) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% ( -0) | 12.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.54% ( -0.01) | 39.45% ( 0.01) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( -0.04) | 19.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.07) | 52.03% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% 5-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.92% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.8% |
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