Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
Result | ||
Jong AZ | Draw | Jong PSV |
47.43% ( -0.01) | 21.92% ( 0) | 30.66% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 67.18% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.47% ( 0.02) | 32.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.82% ( 0.02) | 54.18% ( -0.01) |
Jong AZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.67% ( 0.01) | 14.33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.83% ( 0) | 42.17% ( 0) |
Jong PSV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( 0.02) | 21.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% ( 0.02) | 54.68% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Jong AZ | Draw | Jong PSV |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 30.66% |
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