SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Roda JC |
41.65% ( -0.03) | 24.43% ( 0.05) | 33.92% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% ( -0.22) | 43.45% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.16% ( -0.21) | 65.84% ( 0.21) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.1) | 20.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( -0.16) | 53.71% ( 0.16) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( -0.11) | 24.97% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( -0.15) | 59.61% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.92% |
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