SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Willem II |
41.53% ( 0.41) | 25.12% ( 0.18) | 33.34% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.24% ( -0.98) | 46.76% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( -0.93) | 69.02% ( 0.92) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.22) | 22.44% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( -0.34) | 55.97% ( 0.33) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( -0.84) | 26.89% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( -1.11) | 62.21% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.34% |
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