SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Roda JC |
47.6% ( -0.5) | 23.51% ( 0.09) | 28.89% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.16) | 41.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( -0.16) | 63.73% ( 0.16) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.25) | 17.59% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( -0.44) | 48.16% ( 0.44) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( 0.19) | 27.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( 0.25) | 62.45% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.89% |
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