SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong Ajax |
68.92% ( 0.07) | 16.34% ( -0.02) | 14.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 65.05% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.43% ( 0.01) | 25.57% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.01) | 45.65% ( -0.01) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.18% ( 0.02) | 6.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.87% ( 0.04) | 25.13% ( -0.04) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( -0.05) | 30.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.66% ( -0.06) | 66.34% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 4.09% Total : 68.92% | 1-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.06% 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.34% | 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 14.74% |
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