SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | VVV-Venlo | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Eindhoven | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Jong AZ | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Telstar | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | De Graafschap | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
42.36% ( 0.48) | 25.17% ( 0) | 32.48% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% ( -0.15) | 47.2% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( -0.14) | 69.43% ( 0.14) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0.16) | 22.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( 0.24) | 55.66% ( -0.24) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.37) | 27.64% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( -0.48) | 63.19% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.48% |
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