Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
