SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Roda JC |
42.16% ( -0.52) | 24.22% ( 0.11) | 33.62% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.4) | 42.52% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.4) | 64.92% ( 0.4) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( -0.4) | 20.34% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.26% ( -0.64) | 52.73% ( 0.64) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.05) | 24.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( 0.07) | 59.23% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.62% |
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