Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 56.03%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	VVV-Venlo
56.03%	21.6%	22.38% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.03% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.6% (

38.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.31% (

60.69% (

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.36% (

13.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.2% (

40.8% (

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

30.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.3% (

66.7%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 56.03%

VVV-Venlo 22.38%

Draw 21.6%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 3.24% 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.55% Total : 56.03%	1-1 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.6%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.88% Total : 22.38%