Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
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