SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
41.96% ( 0.71) | 23.81% ( -0.08) | 34.23% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.58% ( 0.26) | 40.42% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( 0.26) | 62.8% ( -0.26) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.42) | 19.55% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( 0.68) | 51.46% ( -0.68) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.22) | 23.37% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -0.32) | 57.34% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.23% |
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