SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 3-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
47.18% ( 0.23) | 20.83% ( -0.02) | 31.98% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 72.22% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.02) | 26.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.02) | 46.62% ( 0.02) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( 0.06) | 12.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.35% ( 0.13) | 37.65% ( -0.13) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( -0.11) | 17.84% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( -0.19) | 48.59% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 47.18% | 1-1 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 31.98% |
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