Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.