Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.