Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
