SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Heracles | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Jong AZ | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | MVV Maastricht | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Willem II | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Almere City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | TOP Oss | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Almere City |
42.65% ( 0.29) | 24.12% ( 0.03) | 33.22% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.82% ( -0.25) | 42.18% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( -0.25) | 64.58% ( 0.25) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( 0.03) | 19.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% ( 0.04) | 52.15% ( -0.04) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.31) | 24.77% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( -0.43) | 59.33% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 42.65% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.22% |
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