Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
