Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	De Graafschap
41.02% ( -0.14)	24.98% ( -0.11)	34% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 57.38% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

0.57)

45.96% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.73% (

0.54)

68.26% (

-0.54)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

0.18)

22.34% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

0.27)

55.82% (

-0.27)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

0.42)

26.11% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.82% (

0.57)

61.17% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 41.02%

De Graafschap 34%

Draw 24.97%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.02%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 34%