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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 34
Apr 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Goffertstadion

NEC
3 - 2
Jong AZ

Janga (56'), Beekman (77'), Barreto (90')
Elkarouani (43'), van Rooij (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aboukhlal (43'), Sugawara (52')
Aboukhlal (70'), Buurmeester (81')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NEC and Jong AZ.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 70.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawJong AZ
70.23%17.2%12.57%
Both teams to score 54.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55%35.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.5%57.5%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98%9.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.27%30.72%
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11%39.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45%76.55%
Score Analysis
    NEC 70.23%
    Jong AZ 12.57%
    Draw 17.2%
NECDrawJong AZ
2-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.66%
3-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 7.68%
4-0 @ 5.02%
4-1 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 3.53%
5-0 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 2.12%
5-2 @ 1.02%
6-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 70.23%
1-1 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.4%
0-0 @ 3.6%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.2%
1-2 @ 3.66%
0-1 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.35%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 12.57%

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