SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Roda JC |
46.01% ( -0.72) | 23.35% ( 0.24) | 30.63% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.38% ( -0.9) | 39.61% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.03% ( -0.95) | 61.96% ( 0.95) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( -0.63) | 17.54% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.92% ( -1.1) | 48.07% ( 1.1) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.15) | 25.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( -0.2) | 59.77% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.63% |
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