SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for De Graafschap in this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
63.09% ( 0.01) | 20.49% ( -0) | 16.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.55% ( -0.02) | 42.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.15% ( -0.01) | 64.85% ( 0.01) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( -0) | 12.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.82% ( -0) | 39.18% |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% ( -0.02) | 39.02% ( 0.02) |
