Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
-0.43) 
0.52) 
