SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
17.25% ( -0.12) | 20.41% ( -0.12) | 62.34% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.46% ( 0.34) | 40.54% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.08% ( 0.35) | 62.92% ( -0.34) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% ( 0.07) | 36.87% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.35% ( 0.07) | 73.65% ( -0.07) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.54% ( 0.17) | 12.46% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.59% ( 0.36) | 38.41% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.25% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.41% | 0-2 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0)0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.62% Total : 62.34% |
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