SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
33.14% ( -0.29) | 25.3% ( -0.05) | 41.56% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( 0.14) | 47.59% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.13) | 69.8% ( -0.12) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.12) | 27.42% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( -0.16) | 62.9% ( 0.16) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( 0.23) | 22.79% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% ( 0.34) | 56.49% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.14% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.56% |
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