Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.26%) and 3-1 (6.21%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	De Graafschap
50.8% ( -0.46)	21.44% ( 0.19)	27.76% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 66.79% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.84% (

-0.7)

32.16% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.25% (

-0.83)

53.75% (

0.83)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.89% (

-0.38)

13.11% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.25% (

-0.79)

39.75% (

0.79)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

-0.19)

23.13% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

-0.28)

56.99% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 50.8%

De Graafschap 27.76%

Draw 21.44%

FC Volendam	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.8%	1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.01% Total : 27.76%