SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
62.5% ( -0.02) | 19.74% ( 0) | 17.77% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.56% ( 0.01) | 36.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.42% ( 0.01) | 58.58% ( -0.01) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.82% ( -0) | 11.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.32% ( -0) | 35.68% |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( 0.02) | 33.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( 0.02) | 70.47% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.65% Total : 62.5% | 1-1 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.1% 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 17.77% |
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