SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Roda JC |
28.7% ( 0.11) | 24.54% ( -0.03) | 46.75% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( 0.2) | 46.17% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( 0.19) | 68.47% ( -0.19) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 0.18) | 29.67% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( 0.22) | 65.72% ( -0.22) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( 0.04) | 19.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% ( 0.07) | 51.93% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Roda JC |
| 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.75% |
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