SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
22.8% ( 0.55) | 22.56% ( 0.38) | 54.64% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.65% ( -1.1) | 42.34% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.25% ( -1.11) | 64.74% ( 1.11) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( -0.12) | 32.31% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( -0.14) | 68.81% ( 0.13) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% ( -0.69) | 15.42% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.74% ( -1.31) | 44.25% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.51% Total : 22.8% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 54.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
