SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Emmen |
29.77% ( 0.04) | 22.68% ( 0.01) | 47.55% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.7% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.15% ( -0.03) | 36.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.98% ( -0.04) | 59.02% ( 0.04) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.01) | 24.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( 0.01) | 58.61% ( -0.01) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( -0.03) | 15.9% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.86% ( -0.06) | 45.14% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 47.55% |
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