SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Jong PSV |
54.77% ( 1.74) | 22.69% ( -0.77) | 22.54% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% ( 2.33) | 43.25% ( -2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( 2.26) | 65.65% ( -2.26) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 1.45) | 15.7% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.23% ( 2.62) | 44.77% ( -2.62) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0.42) | 33.05% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( 0.46) | 69.64% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.6% Total : 54.77% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.55)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.37% Total : 22.54% |
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