SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong PSV |
50.26% ( -0.55) | 22.07% ( 0.2) | 27.68% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 64.37% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.7% ( -0.68) | 35.31% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.67% ( -0.76) | 57.33% ( 0.77) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.6% ( -0.42) | 14.4% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.7% ( -0.83) | 42.31% ( 0.84) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.12) | 24.81% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( -0.17) | 59.39% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.54% Total : 50.26% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.68% |
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